Annual home price growth was 6.0 percent in July, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price NSA Index, released Tuesday. While that would seem to bode well for homeowners, annual appreciation actually was higher the month before, at 6.2 percent. That means price growth is indeed slowing, as observed yesterday by Redfin.
S&P Dow Jones Indices Managing Editor and Chairman of the Index Committee, David M. Blitzer says the slowdown can be seen across the country, as sales of single-family homes have dwindled over the past year. Despite a gain in housing starts, housing affordability has continued to decline, he said.
“Rising home prices are beginning to catch up with housing,” said Blitzer in a prepared statement. “Year-over-year gains and monthly seasonally adjusted increases both slowed in July for the S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller National Index and the 10 and 20-City Composite indices.”
“The slowing is widespread: 15 of 20 cities saw smaller monthly increases in July 2018 than in July 2017,” he added. “Sales of existing single-family homes have dropped each month for the last six months and are now at the level of July 2016.”
Regionally, Las Vegas, Seattle, and San Francisco reported the highest year-over-year gains among the 20 cities tracked by the index. Las Vegas saw a 13.7 percent gain, Seattle saw a 12.1 percent increase and San Francisco saw a 10.8 percent increase.
“Since home prices bottomed in 2012, 12 of the 20 cities tracked by the S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller indices have reached new highs before adjusting for inflation,” Blitzer concluded. “The eight that remain underwater include the four cities which led the home price boom: Las Vegas, Miami, Phoenix and Tampa. ”
“All are enjoying rising prices, especially Las Vegas which currently has the largest year-over-year increases of all 20 cities,” he said. “The other cities where prices are still not over their earlier peaks are Washington DC, Chicago, New York and Atlanta.”
About the Index
The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index is a composite of single-family home price indices that is calculated every month; the indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions are calculated using estimates of the aggregate value of single-family housing stock for the time period in question.
The nine divisions are:
- New England
- Middle Atlantic
- East North Central
- West North Central
- South Atlantic
- East South Central
- West South Central
CoreLogic serves as the calculation agent for the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index.